Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:24:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x293a…136d
crypto · 40 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$39 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses28 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)38 / 40
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day27.9
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$35
other 6% +$5
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $8 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +19.9% +8.5% 74% 68% +9.0%
≤30d 38 +19.9% +8.5% 74% 68% +9.0%
≤90d 38 +19.9% +8.5% 74% 68% +9.0%
all 38 +19.9% +8.5% 74% 68% +9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.5% 68% +9.0%
10% ← realistic here -1.9% 63% -1.4%
15% -11.4% 53% -10.9%
20% -20.1% 34% -19.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 81 history records