Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:01:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x2924…0f31
sports · 265 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2,582 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,732 · open +$80
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$382
Realized−$2,732
Unrealized+$80
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses130 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$5,456
Open positions2
Markets (closed)263 / 265
History coverage36d
Avg bet$971
Trades / day92.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$237
7 days−$184
14 days−$945
30 days−$4,605
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 63¢ 100¢ $135 $215 +$80 (+59%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 82¢ 100¢ $132 $161 +$29 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs PARIVISION 40¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+150%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Legacy 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs L1ga Team 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+163%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner MIBR 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner magic 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner PlayTime 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group C SAW 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Spirit 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs WW Team 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 40¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+147%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $286 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $572 +$186 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $266 −$67 -25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $281 +$119 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,861 +$4 +0%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $629 −$84 -13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $962 +$40 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $412 −$17 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $985 +$216 +22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $70 −$33 -48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $978 $0 -0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,067 −$537 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $307 −$299 -97%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $163 −$82 -51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,691 +$321 +19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $575 +$76 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $48 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $300 +$119 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $598 +$49 +8%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1,327 +$65 +5%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $39 −$25 -65%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $320 +$41 +13%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $70 −$23 -33%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,032 −$93 -9%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,178 −$250 -21%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $310 +$9 +3%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $451 +$10 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $101 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $680 +$88 +13%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $325 +$24 +7%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,219 +$52 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $844 +$79 +9%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $124 +$25 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $762 −$106 -14%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $361 −$3 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $589 −$22 -4%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $416 −$6 -1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,085 +$24 +1%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $73 +$34 +46%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $320 −$194 -60%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $179 −$130 -72%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $714 +$207 +29%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $180 −$12 -7%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $943 −$271 -29%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,155 +$119 +10%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $547 −$140 -26%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1,026 +$19 +2%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $713 −$6 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,652
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 93¢ $316 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 92¢ $50 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 95¢ $40 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 85¢ $124 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 85¢ $77 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 79¢ $52 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 79¢ $93 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 79¢ $24 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 81¢ $122 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 77¢ $374 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 63¢ $401 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 62¢ $46 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 93¢ $144 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 93¢ $306 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 90¢ $300 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 82¢ $125 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL FUT Esports 20¢ $6 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 80¢ $236 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 18¢ $6 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 83¢ $247 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 57¢ $54 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 44¢ $90 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 43¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 46¢ $128 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 31¢ $13 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 40¢ $22 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 28¢ $171 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 36¢ $58 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 35¢ $65 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 30¢ $72 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+169.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +619.3% +550.8% 51% 47% -18.2%
≤30d 250 +207.4% +178.1% 48% 34% -11.6%
≤90d 263 +198.1% +169.7% 49% 35% -10.4%
all 263 +198.1% +169.7% 49% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +169.7% 35% -10.4%
10% +143.9% 24% -19.0%
15% ← realistic here +120.3% 19% -26.8%
20% +98.7% 17% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $381.73 · official $375.57 · 3500 history records