trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 52% | 43% | -3.3% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 50% | 41% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 50% | 41% | -12.1% |
| all | 32 | -12.3% | -20.6% | 50% | 41% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.6% | 41% | -12.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -28.2% | 28% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 25% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -41.5% | 16% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $1,000 | $1,060 | +$60 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $306 | +$382 | +125% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $224 | +$53 | +24% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $174 | −$136 | -78% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 29 | $1,009 | −$83 | -8% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $204 | +$94 | +46% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 27 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $41 | −$28 | -68% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$24 | -46% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $1,008 | +$362 | +36% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $205 | −$108 | -53% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 26 | $102 | +$214 | +209% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $1,013 | +$712 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $40,031 | +$1,019 | +2% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $204 | −$197 | -96% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $1,005 | +$214 | +21% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 24 | $15,063 | +$1,628 | +11% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $43,168 | +$3,304 | +8% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $252 | −$248 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $216 | +$37 | +17% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$14 | -94% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$26 | +52% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$17 | -67% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: France (-3.5) | Jun 22 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $232 | +$43 | +18% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $102 | −$50 | -49% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $152 | +$181 | +119% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 21 | $140 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $6 | +$3 | +46% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 14 | $515 | −$503 | -98% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $24,801 | −$10,465 | -42% |