Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28fd…a2c0
crypto · 44 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$402 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$403 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$403
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses40 / 1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)41 / 44
History coverage138d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $31 $31 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 10? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 10 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 8? Jun 09 $33 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? Jun 08 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 08 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4? Jun 05 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? Jun 04 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2? Jun 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1? Jun 02 $12 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1? Jun 02 $33 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 29? Jun 01 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26? Jun 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 29? Jun 01 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28? May 29 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28? May 29 $32 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? May 28 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? May 28 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? May 27 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25? May 26 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 26 $30 +$30 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23? May 25 $12 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23? May 25 $31 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22? May 23 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 21? May 23 $14 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21? May 23 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20? May 21 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19? May 20 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19? May 20 $33 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18? May 19 $11 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18? May 19 $31 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26? Mar 13 $2 $0 +0%
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 12? Mar 13 $373 +$373 +100%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Jan 26 $1,594 −$3 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$3
crypto 30% +$33
other 13% +$372
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $31 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 27h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $31 27h
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $31 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $12 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? BUY Yes 100¢ $31 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $33 5d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $30 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? BUY Yes 100¢ $12 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $31 10d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 11d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $32 11d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1? BUY Yes 99¢ $12 12d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $33 12d
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $11 15d
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $32 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $13 16d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28? BUY No 99¢ $32 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? BUY No 99¢ $12 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $31 17d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $12 18d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $32 18d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 19d
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $30 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 38 +3.1% -6.7% 100% 3% -5.7%
≤90d 38 +3.1% -6.7% 100% 3% -5.7%
all 41 +5.3% -4.7% 98% 5% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.7% 5% +3.7%
10% -13.8% 5% -6.2%
15% -22.2% 5% -15.3%
20% -29.8% 5% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.44 · official $44.44 (match) · 85 history records