Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28f7…404d
sports · 389 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$68 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$57
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses162 / 222
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions5
Markets (closed)384 / 389
History coverage15d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day45.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 384 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$159
7 days+$9
14 days−$83
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Rinky Hijikata 38¢ 46¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+22%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 12¢ 27¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+125%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 29¢ 11¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-62%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Johannus Monday 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Veronika Podrez 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Pedro Boscardin Dias 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5 Under 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Tamara Korpatsch 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $12 −$4 -35%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $22 −$4 -17%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Boulter vs. Vekic: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $31 −$21 -67%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $15 +$20 +129%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $34 −$4 -12%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $15 −$9 -58%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $8 −$1 -14%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $27 +$14 +52%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $12 +$6 +48%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $13 +$5 +34%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 11 $13 +$14 +108%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $41 +$6 +15%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $10 +$13 +124%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $7 +$9 +124%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 +$9 +180%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $10 +$9 +93%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $36 −$7 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 69¢ $8 0m
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 68¢ $1 1m
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 67¢ $2 2m
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ $5 4m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 37¢ $6 10m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 38¢ $7 19m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 27¢ $2 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 26¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 60¢ $10 1h
Boulter vs. Vekic: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 10¢ $5 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 67¢ $10 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 52¢ $5 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 64¢ $1 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 64¢ $10 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 37¢ $7 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 40¢ $10 2h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 33¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 25¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 61¢ $15 2h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 19¢ $1 2h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 44¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 68¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 66¢ $10 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Panna Udvardy 64¢ $2 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Panna Udvardy 64¢ $10 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 48¢ $5 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 51¢ $5 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Aoi Ito 12¢ $2 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Yue Yuan 29¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 46¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 +3.7% -6.2% 43% 42% -8.5%
≤30d 384 -0.3% -9.8% 42% 41% -11.1%
≤90d 384 -0.3% -9.8% 42% 41% -11.1%
all 384 -0.3% -9.8% 42% 41% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 41% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 39% -19.6%
15% -26.3% 38% -27.4%
20% -33.6% 35% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.98 · official $14.98 (match) · 829 history records