trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 58¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $118 | +$104 | +88% |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $49 | +$31 | +62% |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $41 | +$21 | +51% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $72 | +$47 | +65% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $34 | +$15 | +44% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$7 | -14% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 12 | $52 | +$92 | +178% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $21 | −$19 | -91% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $132 | +$16 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $72 | +$55 | +77% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $60 | −$58 | -97% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 10 | $82 | +$48 | +59% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 10 | $50 | +$37 | +74% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +39.2% | +26.0% | 77% | 77% | +32.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +39.2% | +26.0% | 77% | 77% | +32.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +39.2% | +26.0% | 77% | 77% | +32.0% |
| all | 13 | +39.2% | +26.0% | 77% | 77% | +32.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.0% | 77% | +32.0% |
| 10% | +13.9% | 69% | +19.4% |
| 15% | +2.9% | 69% | +7.8% |
| 20% | -7.2% | 62% | -2.7% |