Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28ea…7367
crypto · 1539 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$133 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$206
Realized−$133
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses689 / 810
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions40
Markets (closed)1499 / 1539
History coverage93d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 40 History 1499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days+$65
14 days+$65
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $9 $22 +$13 (+156%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? No 77¢ 78¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 13? No 69¢ 68¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 73¢ 76¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 41¢ $11 $13 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? No 74¢ 70¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? No 81¢ 83¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? No 82¢ 84¢ $11 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14? No 87¢ 84¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 14? No 82¢ 78¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? No 84¢ 66¢ $12 $9 −$2 (-21%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 68¢ 70¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? No 66¢ 69¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+39%)
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No 74¢ 73¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election? No 71¢ 72¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 36¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+39%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Yes 69¢ 72¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250? Yes 59¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? Yes 41¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? Yes 24¢ 23¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? Yes 14¢ 18¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? Yes 43¢ 43¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June? No 68¢ 42¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$35 +540%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$5 +51%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$3 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +47%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $4 +$9 +212%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $9 +$30 +319%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$14 +338%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +39%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 11 $4 +$2 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 11? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $27 +$6 +21%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $17 −$12 -72%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $202 −$6 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $10 +$2 +25%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $10 +$2 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 06 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 27 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Mar 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 27 $2 +$3 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$195
weather 6% +$67
other 6% −$3
politics 1% −$4
world 0% +$1
sports 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 82¢ $11 4m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 22m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 22m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 38m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 40m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 82¢ $12 52m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 86¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 87¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 74¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 73¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 41¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 66¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 84¢ $12 3h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 65¢ $9 4h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 72¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 77¢ $14 4h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $14 4h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 36¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 81¢ $12 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 10h
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary BUY Yes 17¢ $2 13h
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 13h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 13h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 BUY Yes 42¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 54% +4.0%
≤30d 39 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 54% +4.0%
≤90d 1234 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 39% -12.7%
all 1499 -3.8% -13.0% 46% 38% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 38% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 34% -20.6%
15% -28.9% 31% -28.3%
20% -35.9% 28% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $206.11 · official $205.36 (match) · 3500 history records