trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 77% | 46% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 77% | 46% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 77% | 46% | -10.2% |
| all | 13 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 77% | 46% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 46% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 31% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 31% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 15% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 38¢ | 34¢ | $58 | $51 | −$8 (-13%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | $40 | $42 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 27¢ | 37¢ | $31 | $42 | +$10 (+33%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $40 | $34 | −$6 (-16%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 88¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 88¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15¢ | 17¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $32 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$9 | -85% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 14 | $76 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $59 | +$7 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |