trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +49.1% | +34.9% | 26% | 26% | -17.0% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +49.1% | +34.9% | 26% | 26% | -17.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +49.1% | +34.9% | 26% | 26% | -17.0% |
| all | 20 | +41.7% | +28.2% | 25% | 25% | -55.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +28.2% | 25% | -55.4% |
| 10% | +15.9% | 25% | -59.7% |
| 15% | +4.7% | 25% | -63.6% |
| 20% | -5.6% | 25% | -67.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-21%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-62%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$34 | +1104% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$13 | +123% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$15 | +711% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |