Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28b8…16fc
other · 798 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses323 / 474
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)797 / 798
History coverage231d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 1 History 797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$20
14 days+$23
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Punjab FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-17? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-02? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-01? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +33%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 $0 -17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -79%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $4 −$4 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 +$5 +158%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $21 +$4 +20%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $32 +$1 +3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$3 +34%
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $10 +$5 +50%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $28 +$10 +34%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $10 +$4 +41%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $3 −$1 -49%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $3 +$6 +206%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $4 +$3 +90%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $13 +$7 +50%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $3 +$5 +152%
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $17 +$1 +7%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $9 +$8 +93%
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw? May 31 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 −$7 -70%
Japan vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $25 +$9 +34%
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $5 −$4 -74%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-05-31? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -60%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 $0 -39%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $7 +$6 +88%
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to Score May 30 $8 +$5 +63%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $13 +$10 +73%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $12 +$2 +20%
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to Score May 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score May 28 $3 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$28
sports 11% −$6
world 3% −$11
crypto 1% −$15
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $9 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $4 6h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 94¢ $13 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $3 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $2 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $1 2d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 3d
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 56¢ $4 3d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 3d
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $3 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 100¢ $25 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 83¢ $21 4d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 5d
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 5d
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 5d
Will England win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 94¢ $33 6d
Will England win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 91¢ $32 6d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 83¢ $14 6d
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $15 6d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 6d
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 66¢ $10 6d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 100¢ $38 6d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 74¢ $28 6d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 7d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 7d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -9.5% -18.1% 53% 47% +3.0%
≤30d 162 -20.1% -27.7% 36% 35% -15.4%
≤90d 352 -15.6% -23.6% 36% 35% -17.3%
all 797 -12.6% -20.9% 41% 39% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 39% -9.0%
10% -28.5% 35% -17.7%
15% -35.4% 30% -25.6%
20% -41.8% 25% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.26 · official $3.26 (match) · 1332 history records