Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:42:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28af…a944
crypto · 1198 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$387 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$387 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$387
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses695 / 503
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1198 / 1198
History coverage49d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$52
14 days−$162
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$387
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -14.1% -22.3% 57% 51% -16.8%
≤30d 831 -12.4% -20.8% 55% 49% -20.7%
≤90d 1198 -6.0% -15.0% 58% 52% -13.0%
all 1198 -6.0% -15.0% 58% 52% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 52% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 39% -21.3%
15% -30.5% 29% -28.9%
20% -37.3% 20% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records