Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28af…adc1
other · 246 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 236
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
History coverage131d
Avg bet$219
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$14
14 days−$24
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $241 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 14 $445 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $270 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $420 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 13 $676 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $366 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $323 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 13 $425 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $548 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $242 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $286 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $435 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $372 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 11 $113 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $55 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $424 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $298 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $288 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $256 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $275 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $56 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $118 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $292 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $132 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $363 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $366 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $193 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $489 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $195 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $151 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $58 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $179 −$1 -1%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $155 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $658 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $352 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $474 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $137 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $149 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $358 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $427 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $145 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $99 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $62 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $200 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $537 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$43
sports 27% −$24
politics 8% −$9
crypto 5% −$4
culture 5% −$5
world 5% −$5
economics 4% −$5
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $53 1h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $53 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $54 4h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 6h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 7h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 8h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $54 11h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $54 13h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $54 17h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $54 19h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $54 20h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $54 22h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $54 23h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $54 24h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 25h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 27h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 29h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 31h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $54 31h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $54 32h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $54 37h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $54 39h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $54 43h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 44h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 47h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 246 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1347 history records