Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2895…da70
crypto · 1123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$857 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$857 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$857
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses452 / 696
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1148 / 1123
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day156.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$133
7 days−$341
14 days−$553
30 days−$857
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$772
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 545 -20.6% -28.1% 30% 19% -24.9%
≤30d 1148 -21.8% -29.3% 39% 23% -23.5%
≤90d 1148 -21.8% -29.3% 39% 23% -23.5%
all 1148 -21.8% -29.3% 39% 23% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.3% 23% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.0% 20% -30.8%
15% -42.2% 17% -37.5%
20% -47.9% 15% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records