trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 13 | +29.4% | +17.1% | 46% | 15% | -1.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +29.4% | +17.1% | 46% | 15% | -1.0% |
| all | 28 | +9.1% | -1.2% | 50% | 14% | -1.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.2% | 14% | -1.7% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 14% | -11.1% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 11% | -19.7% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 11% | -27.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $27 | $24 | −$2 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $127 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $127 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $130 | −$3 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 01 | $128 | +$2 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $127 | +$1 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $170 | +$6 | +4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $46 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $30 | +$85 | +280% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 28 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 27 | $4 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May? | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Starmer out before July? | May 11 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 09 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 07 | $4 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | Apr 24 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -31% |
| UL Monroe vs. Texas State | Mar 03 | $3 | +$3 | +75% |
| Roma vs. FC Porto | Mar 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |