trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 14% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 23% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 23% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $34 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 07 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +3% |