Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:43:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
28 0x2858…119d crypto 255 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (133 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$7,589 (+2%) realized +$7,550 · open +$39
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate92%229W / 20L
Whale WR90%big bets
Drawdown54%max
Avg bet$1,896per market
Trades / day133.0pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$14,568now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$178
7 days+$1,140
14 days−$1,021
30 days+$5,411
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,432
other 0% +$19
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (133 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 2% -8.6%
≤30d 249 +1.5% -8.1% 92% 2% -8.5%
≤90d 249 +1.5% -8.1% 92% 2% -8.5%
all 249 +1.5% -8.1% 92% 2% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 2% -8.5%
10% -16.9% 1% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.0% 1% -25.2%
20% -32.3% 1% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 49% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 90% (≥$2,376) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$46 vs −$259 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.05 per $1 lost it wins $2.05
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$14,568
Realized+$7,550
Unrealized+$39
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses229 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)249 / 255
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$1,896
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 249 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $4,652 $4,681 +$29 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 98¢ 99¢ $4,293 $4,336 +$43 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $3,061 $3,032 −$29 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $1,372 $1,373 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,143 $1,139 −$5 (-0%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 17? No 96¢ 97¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? Jun 16 $3,975 −$273 -7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,438 +$30 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 16 $7,195 +$16 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $3,009 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $3,472 +$24 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? Jun 16 $789 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 15? Jun 15 $2,892 +$38 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,478 −$136 -9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? Jun 15 $634 +$4 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $1,150 +$8 +1%
Will Solana reach $80 June 8-14? Jun 15 $589 +$4 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Jun 15 $11,763 +$83 +1%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 14? Jun 15 $139 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? Jun 15 $646 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 14? Jun 14 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14? Jun 14 $509 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? Jun 14 $4,723 +$32 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14? Jun 13 $1,821 +$52 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? Jun 13 $1,091 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $469 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,985 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 13? Jun 13 $506 +$1 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 12? Jun 13 $1,073 +$5 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? Jun 13 $2,140 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $642 −$479 -75%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $14,725 +$267 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,970 +$28 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,146 +$29 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,928 +$52 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,277 +$689 +30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $486 +$6 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,000 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 11 $134 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 11? Jun 11 $284 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $133 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,194 +$58 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,829 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 11? Jun 11 $304 +$5 +2%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,439 +$9 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,586 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 10 $3,629 +$27 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 10? Jun 10 $570 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $4,183 +$177 +4%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 10? Jun 10 $109 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,013 +$26 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,429 +$100 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $701 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,834 +$73 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $498 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $935 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $280 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $40 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $128 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? SELL Yes 92¢ $1,502 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 2m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? SELL No 100¢ $770 3m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? SELL Yes 91¢ $714 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? SELL Yes 90¢ $582 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? SELL Yes 90¢ $539 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? SELL Yes 91¢ $366 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? SELL No 100¢ $698 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 9m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 95¢ $952 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $585 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $268 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,960 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $589 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $836 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $46 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $392 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,568.20 · official $14,568.20 (match) · 3500 history records