Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2855…ebe8
crypto · 59 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$887 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$795 · open −$92
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$895
Realized−$795
Unrealized−$92
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses25 / 135
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)160 / 59
Avg bet$574
Trades / day3442.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$795
7 days−$795
14 days−$795
30 days−$795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 5¢ 54¢ $10 $112 +$102 (+1000%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 6¢ 100¢ $6 $100 +$94 (+1621%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 98¢ 46¢ $176 $83 −$92 (-53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $78 $82 +$4 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $73 $77 +$4 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $72 $76 +$4 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $65 $68 +$3 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $49 $52 +$3 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $49 $52 +$3 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $46 $48 +$3 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $39 $42 +$3 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $2 $40 +$38 (+1832%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $29 $32 +$3 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$264
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $153 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $83 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-66.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -63.3% -66.8% 16% 2% -11.6%
≤30d 160 -63.3% -66.8% 16% 2% -11.6%
≤90d 160 -63.3% -66.8% 16% 2% -11.6%
all 160 -63.3% -66.8% 16% 2% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3442.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.8% 2% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -70.0% 1% -20.0%
15% -72.9% 1% -27.8%
20% -75.5% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $895.04 · official $896.90 (match) · 3500 history records