trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +24.8% | +12.9% | 20% | 20% | +18.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +168.5% | +143.0% | 27% | 27% | -23.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +112.6% | +92.4% | 25% | 25% | -53.1% |
| all | 18 | +89.0% | +71.0% | 22% | 22% | -53.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +71.0% | 22% | -53.3% |
| 10% | +54.6% | 22% | -57.7% |
| 15% | +39.7% | 22% | -61.8% |
| 20% | +26.0% | 22% | -65.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | $916 | $914 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 11¢ | $481 | $317 | −$165 (-34%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $310 | $270 | −$40 (-13%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $54 | $35 | −$19 (-35%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $36 | $34 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $2 | −$2 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND | Jun 23 | $5 | +$22 | +429% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $6 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a | Jun 21 | $1 | +$19 | +1848% |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 20 | $5 | +$10 | +192% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$10 | -10% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 19 | $67 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | May 19 | $62 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | May 13 | $360 | −$199 | -55% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $902 | −$541 | -60% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Feb 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |