Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x284e…bd6d
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$398 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$398 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$398
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses20 / 27
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage315d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$380
7 days−$380
14 days−$380
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $137 −$29 -22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $388 −$163 -42%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $140 +$18 +13%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $204 −$190 -93%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $13 −$9 -71%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $12 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $7 −$6 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $162 +$115 +71%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 −$19 -37%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$6 -64%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$6 +68%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $179 −$173 -96%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $48 +$17 +34%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $44 +$14 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -30%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -51%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $61 +$57 +92%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +89%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $13 +$9 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Feb 05 $11 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Feb 05 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Feb 05 $12 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Feb 05 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Feb 05 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Feb 05 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Feb 05 $3 −$1 -42%
XRP Up or Down on August 4? Feb 05 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Feb 05 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Feb 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Aug 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the Aug 17 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1PM ET Aug 03 $1 $0 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4? Aug 03 $2 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 12PM ET Aug 03 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12PM ET Aug 03 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? Aug 03 $3 −$1 -39%
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Aug 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% −$387
sports 15% +$14
crypto 7% −$20
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 74¢ $21 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 73¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 74¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 22¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $15 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 10¢ $8 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 10¢ $8 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 63¢ $23 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 24¢ $16 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 28¢ $13 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 56¢ $8 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 55¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 31¢ $13 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 44¢ $31 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 39¢ $24 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $20 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $20 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $20 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $20 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 45% 45% -31.2%
≤30d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 45% 45% -31.2%
≤90d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 45% 45% -31.2%
all 47 -12.5% -20.8% 43% 40% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.8% 40% -31.2%
10% -28.4% 32% -37.8%
15% -35.3% 21% -43.8%
20% -41.6% 19% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 228 history records