Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2849…63f8
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$427 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$427 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$427
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses60 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage2d
Avg bet$107
Trades / day1992.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$427
7 days−$427
14 days−$427
30 days−$427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $177 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $116 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$67 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $122 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $190 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $148 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $120 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $102 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $96 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $95 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $117 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $108 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $118 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $90 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $127 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $88 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $105 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $131 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $142 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $106 −$24 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $67 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $172 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $97 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $130 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $89 −$20 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $90 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $99 −$11 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $110 −$34 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$427
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 3% -13.3%
≤30d 95 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 3% -13.3%
≤90d 95 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 3% -13.3%
all 95 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 3% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1992.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 3% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 0% -21.6%
15% -27.8% 0% -29.2%
20% -34.9% 0% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records