Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2846…267f
other · 500 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$297 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$225 · open +$72
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$257
Realized+$225
Unrealized+$72
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses423 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions13
Markets (closed)487 / 500
History coverage179d
Avg bet$254
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 13 History 487 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$136
7 days+$136
14 days+$134
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 6¢ 36¢ $17 $97 +$79 (+454%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 46¢ $30 $58 +$28 (+94%)
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
Will Solana dip to $10 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? No 97¢ 98¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 94¢ 92¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 95¢ 92¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? No 94¢ 84¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-11%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 49¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 +$33 +128%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$47 +246%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $32 +$36 +112%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$46 +132%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $35 +$27 +76%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$21 +60%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$7 +53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$43 +124%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $24 +$8 +34%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$10 +104%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$42 +376%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$20 +206%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 +$20 +206%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$18 +180%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$8 +82%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $10 +$3 +34%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 10 $25 +$56 +226%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify lis Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Trump kiss by May 31? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 31? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of April Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +38%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 05 $8 −$4 -45%
WTT - Men's Singles: Jun-Sung Oh vs Anton Kaellberg Jun 04 $5 $0 +6%
Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 02 $7 $0 +5%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May? Jun 01 $20 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 01 $6 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% +$77
crypto 10% +$8
tech 4% −$5
sports 2% +$214
weather 2% +$9
culture 1% −$2
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 10m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 10m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 11m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 7¢ $4 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 8¢ $5 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $4 36m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $5 36m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 49¢ $30 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $59 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 44¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $67 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $68 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $14 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $25 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $81 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $27 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 43¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 43¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 43¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +5.2% -4.9% 45% 45% +7.8%
≤30d 72 +4.3% -5.7% 65% 32% -5.4%
≤90d 195 +3.9% -6.0% 87% 16% -8.8%
all 487 +1.8% -7.9% 87% 7% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 7% -9.4%
10% -16.7% 5% -18.0%
15% -24.7% 4% -26.0%
20% -32.1% 3% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $256.55 · official $256.55 (match) · 1175 history records