trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 92% | 0% | -13.3% |
| all | 30 | +18.2% | +7.0% | 93% | 3% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.0% | 3% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -3.3% | 3% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -12.6% | 3% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -21.2% | 3% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $146 | $147 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $70 | $70 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in May? | Jun 01 | $62 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.50 in May? | Jun 01 | $155 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $216 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 27 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 19 | $82 | +$2 | +2% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Apr 18 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 10 | $81 | +$1 | +2% |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Apr 01 | $972 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Mar 31 | $220 | −$220 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 31 | $971 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Bucks | Mar 29 | $968 | +$3 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $967 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 25 | $965 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 19 | $964 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Mar 09 | $962 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Mar 07 | $960 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top globa | Mar 04 | $959 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on February 26? | Feb 28 | $958 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $2.00? | Feb 14 | $957 | +$1 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 05 | $26 | +$190 | +733% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 01 | $171 | +$5 | +3% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 12 above $235? | Jan 17 | $1,001 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Jan 02 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $57 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $167 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $510 | +$1 | +0% |