trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $72 | $72 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $63 | $63 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close | Jun 18 | $1,226 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $1,153 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 12 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? | May 12 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | May 12 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Apr 16 | $950 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $956 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 16 | $959 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 15 | $1,011 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 15 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana reach $130 in April? | Apr 15 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 15 | $995 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 14 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | Apr 14 | $939 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 14 | $1,012 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $954 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 06 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 02 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 02 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $132 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Mar 29 | $27 | $0 | -0% |