trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 75% | 25% | -21.1% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 75% | 25% | -21.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 75% | 25% | -21.1% |
| all | 24 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 75% | 25% | -21.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -11.4% | 25% | -21.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.9% | 12% | -28.6% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 0% | -35.5% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -41.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $118 | $122 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $118 | $118 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22? | No | 90¢ | 99¢ | $81 | $90 | +$8 (+10%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 22? | No | 82¢ | 94¢ | $33 | $38 | +$5 (+15%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 86¢ | $36 | $34 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 22 | $94 | +$5 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $204 | −$144 | -71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $187 | −$135 | -72% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $93 | −$37 | -40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 21? | Jun 22 | $116 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $22 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $181 | +$13 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $97 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $26 | +$4 | +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $18 | +$6 | +33% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $44 | +$8 | +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$6 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $28 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 20? | Jun 21 | $114 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20? | Jun 21 | $29 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $143 | −$60 | -42% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $95 | +$31 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $234 | +$15 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $19 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $6 | +$2 | +30% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $126 | +$3 | +2% |