trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +89.8% | +71.7% | 50% | 50% | +88.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +64.6% | +48.9% | 50% | 50% | +43.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +84.5% | +66.9% | 50% | 50% | +61.0% |
| all | 13 | +20.7% | +9.2% | 31% | 31% | -48.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.2% | 31% | -48.4% |
| 10% | -1.2% | 31% | -53.4% |
| 15% | -10.8% | 31% | -57.9% |
| 20% | -19.5% | 31% | -62.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $392 | $508 | +$116 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $102 | +$398 | +388% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $204 | +$348 | +171% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 07 | $247 | −$244 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $197 | +$254 | +129% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $145 | +$563 | +388% |
| Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO? | May 10 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Jan 14 | $418 | −$418 | -100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | Jan 13 | $939 | −$64 | -7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 13 | $877 | −$877 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jan 07 | $998 | −$998 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 07 | $940 | −$940 | -100% |