Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:15:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2817…8748
crypto · 259 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$135 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses224 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)259 / 259
History coverage13d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day48.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days+$51
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $80 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $80 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $80 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$59 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$4 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$153
other 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -0.8% -10.3% 88% 11% -8.8%
≤30d 259 -2.3% -11.6% 86% 10% -10.4%
≤90d 259 -2.3% -11.6% 86% 10% -10.4%
all 259 -2.3% -11.6% 86% 10% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 10% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 7% -19.0%
15% -27.8% 6% -26.8%
20% -34.9% 6% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 973 history records