trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 100% | 50% | +22.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 70% | 40% | -1.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 59% | 35% | -3.4% |
| all | 18 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 56% | 33% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 33% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 33% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 33% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 22% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $80 | $80 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | Jun 17 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5 | Jun 17 | $56 | +$44 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | May 29 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | May 29 | $41 | +$39 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 29 | $56 | +$44 | +79% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | May 28 | $26 | +$14 | +55% |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 28 | $110 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 19 | $130 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 12 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches | Apr 17 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Mar 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks | Mar 31 | $3 | +$1 | +39% |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)? | Mar 31 | $3 | +$1 | +45% |
| Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode | Jan 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |