Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2805…76ed
sports · 258 markets active 11h ago
2.5score
+$50,252 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50,252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$50,252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses119 / 139
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$13,656
Open positions0
Markets (closed)258 / 258
Avg bet$3,816
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69,154
7 days+$111,554
14 days+$51,713
30 days+$51,713
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10,152 $0 −$10,152 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 33¢ 0¢ $705 $0 −$705 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 7¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Cleveland Guardians 64¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 16¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 56¢ 0¢ $8,933 $0 −$8,933 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 46¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 30¢ 0¢ $1,346 $0 −$1,346 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 45¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $93 −$92 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $22,760 +$15,375 +68%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $164 +$16 +10%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $244 −$238 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,071 +$209 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $41,283 +$9,694 +24%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $233 −$229 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $719 −$705 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,547 −$1,203 -47%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $32,007 +$15,679 +49%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $962 +$39 +4%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $13,422 +$12,973 +97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $38,521 +$24,289 +63%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $9,011 −$8,933 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $638 +$7,137 +1119%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $10,305 −$10,152 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $1,000 +$1,000 +100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1,000 +$1,000 +100%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,190 +$836 +70%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $646 +$1,396 +216%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1,080 +$1,120 +104%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1,925 +$76 +4%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $71 −$69 -97%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Jun 10 $64 −$63 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 10 $232 −$232 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $151 −$151 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $990 −$990 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $2,044 −$2,044 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $9,360 −$9,360 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $13,416 −$13,416 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $33,820 +$36,165 +107%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $950 +$1,083 +114%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $42,383 +$92,424 +218%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,566 +$53 +3%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $34 −$34 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $105 +$98 +93%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 09 $90 −$90 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 09 $275 +$233 +85%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $314 −$314 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 09 $474 −$474 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 09 $590 +$410 +70%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Jun 09 $644 −$644 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $509 −$509 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 09 $455 −$455 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $432 −$432 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 09 $53 −$53 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 09 $1,001 −$1,001 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 09 $115 −$115 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3,751 −$3,751 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$50,120
other 1% +$126
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 46¢ $93 11h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 16¢ $244 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $1,803 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $14 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $59 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $28 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $3 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $273 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $4 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 91¢ $164 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 51¢ $71 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $2,061 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $0 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $22 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $10 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $78 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $39 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $84 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 82¢ $243 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $16,740 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $64 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 85¢ $436 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 85¢ $153 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 85¢ $6 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $1,701 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $8 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $2 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $1 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $0 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +13.2% +2.4% 50% 44% +7.1%
≤30d 149 +12.0% +1.3% 47% 42% -4.4%
≤90d 149 +12.0% +1.3% 47% 42% -4.4%
all 258 +6.5% -3.7% 46% 37% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 37% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 34% -14.0%
15% -21.3% 32% -22.3%
20% -29.0% 28% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2432 history records