trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 71% | 6% | -9.5% |
| all | 17 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 71% | 6% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 6% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 6% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 67¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-32%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 21? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 21? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on April 21? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on April 21? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 | Mar 26 | $924 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on March 31? | Mar 26 | $919 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 26 | $908 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mistral have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 26 | $929 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 26 | $918 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Mar 26 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Payton Pritchard lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2 | Mar 26 | $929 | $0 | +0% |