Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27f4…0621
other · 9 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)4 / 9
History coverage220d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 5 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 52¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+150%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 10¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-82%)
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? No 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? No 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? Nov 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? Nov 04 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$22
politics 34% −$25
crypto 14% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $27 15h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 21h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 24h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 24h
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 5¢ $5 220d
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? BUY No 43¢ $5 220d
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 220d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-40.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +164.9% +139.7% 100% 100% +139.7%
≤30d 1 +164.9% +139.7% 100% 100% +139.7%
≤90d 1 +164.9% +139.7% 100% 100% +139.7%
all 4 -33.8% -40.1% 25% 25% -30.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.1% 25% -30.6%
10% -45.8% 25% -37.2%
15% -51.0% 25% -43.3%
20% -55.8% 25% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.20 · official $43.20 (match) · 10 history records