Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T22:12:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x27e6…4a98 crypto 181 markets active 2h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$15 (-1%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%177W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day30.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$11
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 181 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 181 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.1%
all 181 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$15 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses177 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage8d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 181 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $66 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $66 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET Jun 23 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $44 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8AM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $33 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 431 history records