Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27de…ebba
crypto · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$9 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses21 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$16 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$35 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 41% -4.2%
≤30d 49 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 41% -4.2%
≤90d 49 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 41% -4.2%
all 49 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 41% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 41% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 39% -13.3%
15% -34.6% 39% -21.7%
20% -41.0% 37% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 86 history records