Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:32:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
27 0x27d8…d41f crypto 924 markets active 2h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,223 (+0%) realized +$3,223 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%913W / 11L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$891per market
Trades / day69.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 37d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$718
finance 6% +$66
other 4% +$100
sports 1% +$6
tech 1% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 774 -0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 924 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 924 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$1,199) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×17.95 per $1 lost it wins $17.95
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses913 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)924 / 924
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$891
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 924 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? Jun 17 $325 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,199 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $2,143 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,498 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $538 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $999 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $2,053 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,720 +$2 +0%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $6,733 +$7 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 16? Jun 17 $628 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $6,101 +$6 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $3,499 +$5 +0%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $3,197 +$3 +0%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $199 $0 +0%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $301 $0 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $2,005 +$2 +0%
Will Meta (META) close above $560 on June 16? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 16? Jun 16 $489 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 16? Jun 16 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 16? Jun 16 $43 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on June 16? Jun 16 $924 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 16? Jun 16 $250 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,498 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $427 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,498 +$2 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 16? Jun 16 $999 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $141 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $67 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $349 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $406 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2,318 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $458 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET Jun 16 $2,811 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET Jun 16 $279 $0 +0%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $5,195 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 15? Jun 15 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 15? Jun 15 $398 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 15? Jun 15 $999 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $1,704 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $3,547 +$3 +0%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 15, 8AM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $45 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $50 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1,199 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $8 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $500 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $400 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $15 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $325 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $61 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records