Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:00:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27c4…16b3
crypto · 20 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
−$32 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses9 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage113d
Avg bet$286
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Trump out as President by May 31? May 28 $3 $0 -0%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? Apr 19 $783 +$1 +0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats Apr 19 $879 +$1 +0%
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? Apr 19 $849 +$1 +0%
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? Apr 19 $761 +$1 +0%
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Apr 19 $771 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Apr 19 $748 −$2 -0%
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Apr 19 $819 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ET Mar 04 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Mar 04 $12 +$12 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8PM ET Mar 02 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET Mar 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Mar 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10PM ET Feb 27 $11 +$11 +100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10PM ET Feb 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Feb 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11PM ET Feb 25 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 12PM ET Feb 22 $4 +$4 +100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Feb 22 $8 +$8 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% $0
other 27% −$2
world 15% +$1
crypto 2% −$31
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Trump out as President by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $3 16d
Trump out as President by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $3 16d
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? SELL No 99¢ $745 54d
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? SELL No 99¢ $39 54d
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? BUY No 99¢ $783 54d
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats SELL No 100¢ $873 55d
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats SELL No 100¢ $7 55d
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats BUY No 100¢ $879 55d
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? SELL No 100¢ $850 55d
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? BUY No 100¢ $849 55d
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? SELL No 99¢ $762 55d
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? BUY No 99¢ $761 55d
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? SELL No 99¢ $770 55d
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? BUY No 100¢ $771 55d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 95¢ $746 55d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 95¢ $748 55d
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? SELL No 99¢ $818 55d
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? BUY No 99¢ $819 55d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 101d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 103d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 104d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 105d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 106d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 107d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 108d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 2 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 9 -0.0% -9.6% 44% 0% -9.5%
all 20 -5.0% -14.1% 45% 25% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 25% -10.0%
10% -22.3% 25% -18.6%
15% -29.8% 25% -26.5%
20% -36.7% 25% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 44 history records