trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 17% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 42% | 17% | -7.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 42% | 17% | -7.0% |
| all | 25 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 56% | 12% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 12% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 12% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 8% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 4% | -31.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $52 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $21 | +$1 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 24 | $38 | +$11 | +30% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in March? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | -4% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Holy Cross vs. Colgate | Mar 20 | $9 | +$4 | +37% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Feb 26 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |