Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27b6…dfe2
crypto · 552 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$951 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$951 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$951
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses292 / 259
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)551 / 552
History coverage96d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$219
7 days−$255
14 days−$255
30 days−$699
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 0¢ 42¢ $0 $9 +$9 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Kolkata Knight Riders 97¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$97 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$22 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $225 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $190 −$59 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $215 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$11 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $202 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$32 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $219 −$21 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $203 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $62 −$40 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $204 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $44 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 30 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 30 $20 −$15 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 30 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 30 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 30 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 30 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 30 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 30 $25 −$17 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 30 $17 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 30 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 30 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $6 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$1,026
sports 7% +$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $122 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $98 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $27 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $40 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $30 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $81 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $22 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +5.8% -4.3% 53% 21% -17.0%
≤30d 276 +1.1% -8.5% 58% 28% -13.7%
≤90d 434 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 32% -13.9%
all 551 -1.4% -10.8% 53% 36% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 36% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 24% -22.4%
15% -27.1% 19% -29.9%
20% -34.3% 14% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.28 · official $14.18 (match) · 2424 history records