Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27b3…59b1
other · 1375 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$666 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$668 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,932
Realized+$668
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1323 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1369 / 1375
History coverage69d
Avg bet$108
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 6 History 1369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$108
14 days+$200
30 days+$432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Spacestation Gaming 100¢ 100¢ $1,059 $1,055 −$4 (-0%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ 100¢ $608 $609 +$0 (+0%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 99¢ 100¢ $248 $249 +$1 (+1%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 4 Winner Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1,219 +$12 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $71 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Samed Baždar: 1+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals Jun 12 $230 $0 +0%
Promise David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,372 +$14 +1%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $535 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $800 +$8 +1%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Orbelín Pineda: 2+ goals Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Obed Vargas: 1+ goals Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Orbelín Pineda: 1+ goals Jun 11 $90 $0 +0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Orbelín Pineda: 3+ goals Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
César Montes: 2+ goals Jun 11 $191 $0 +0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
Gilberto Mora: 2+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Oswin Appollis: 1+ goals Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Lyle Foster: 1+ goals Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Jun 11 $495 +$10 +2%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Jun 11 $495 +$10 +2%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Jun 11 $495 +$10 +2%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Jun 11 $361 +$7 +2%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
First Blood in Game 1? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 $0 -0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 11 $1,802 +$33 +2%
Netherlands vs. Poland: Neither team to score first? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Netherlands to score first vs. Poland? Jun 10 $123 $0 +0%
Spain to score first vs. Iceland? Jun 09 $29 $0 +0%
Iceland to score first vs. Spain? Jun 09 $64 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Iceland 2 - 1 Spain? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Frites Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stag Jun 09 $63 $0 +0%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $36 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $160 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 09 $122 $0 +0%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $1,325 +$13 +1%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5) Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Ruddy Sack (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Jun 08 $1,803 +$2 +0%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $461 −$18 -4%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $725 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$394
other 28% +$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 100¢ $60 3m
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 100¢ $500 3m
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 100¢ $500 3m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ $5 20m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 99¢ $52 22m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 99¢ $195 23m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 4 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ $10 23m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 23m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ $80 40m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ $24 41m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner BUY Paris Gentle Mates 100¢ $500 41m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 48m
Promise David: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $80 1h
Samed Baždar: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Jonathan David: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $230 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $89 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $572 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $71 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $16 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $16 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $198 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $28 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $206 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +0.4% -9.2% 95% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 614 +0.5% -9.0% 97% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1369 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.1%
all 1369 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 1% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 1% -25.7%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,931.98 · official $1,931.98 (match) · 3500 history records