Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x27a7…3676
crypto · 65 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$91 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses19 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage212d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$18
14 days−$14
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 19? Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 17? Up 74¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on November 18? Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $36 +$26 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 03 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 03 $7 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 02 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 02 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 02 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 02 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 01 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 01 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 01 $13 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 01 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 28 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 28 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 28 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 28 $17 −$14 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 28 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 28 $14 −$13 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $14 −$12 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 28 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 28 $4 +$72 +1698%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 28 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Mar 21 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Mar 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Mar 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Mar 21 $16 +$22 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Mar 21 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Mar 21 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$45
sports 5% −$30
other 3% −$3
tech 3% −$20
finance 3% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $62 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -9.3% -17.9% 40% 40% +17.2%
≤30d 42 +12.0% +1.3% 33% 31% -11.2%
≤90d 54 -0.6% -10.1% 31% 30% -16.9%
all 65 -1.1% -10.5% 29% 28% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 28% -27.4%
10% -19.1% 25% -34.4%
15% -26.9% 23% -40.7%
20% -34.1% 22% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 214 history records