trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -39.5% | -45.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -39.5% | -45.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -39.5% | -45.3% | 25% | 25% | -24.6% |
| all | 15 | -41.1% | -46.7% | 20% | 20% | -27.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.7% | 20% | -27.1% |
| 10% | -51.8% | 20% | -34.1% |
| 15% | -56.4% | 20% | -40.5% |
| 20% | -60.7% | 13% | -46.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 58¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $113 | +$13 (+13%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Jun 24 | $52 | −$50 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 24 | $52 | +$55 | +106% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$17 | +68% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 24 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $43 | −$16 | -38% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $151 | +$72 | +48% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | Jun 23 | $29 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $21 | −$13 | -61% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $53 | −$43 | -81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Feb 12 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12? | Feb 12 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 12? | Feb 12 | $13 | −$3 | -24% |