trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -4.2% | -13.4% | 32% | 27% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.4% | 27% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 27% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 27% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 23% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $577 | $577 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $362 | $362 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | No | 40¢ | 5¢ | $45 | $5 | −$40 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $900 | −$1 | -0% |
| Giants vs. Diamondbacks | Sep 17 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 17 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| Liberty vs. Mercury | Sep 16 | $6 | +$5 | +79% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $127 | +$97 | +76% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Penn State | Jan 10 | $108 | +$100 | +92% |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Jan 09 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winner | Oct 16 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday? | Oct 07 | $61 | +$30 | +50% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $19 | +$31 | +163% |