Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2791…aab0
crypto · 1745 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1573 / 171
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1744 / 1745
History coverage52d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day33.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$39
14 days+$27
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 88¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 +3.0% -6.8% 93% 54% -6.8%
≤30d 1025 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 52% -9.2%
≤90d 1744 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 52% -9.3%
all 1744 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 52% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 52% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.75 · official $4.92 (match) · 3500 history records