Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2775…3652 sports 459 markets active 0h ago coverage 56d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 55d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$47,641 (+6%) realized +$54,150 · open −$6,509
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate36%180W / 319L
Whale WR42%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,778per market
Trades / day57.7pace
Fees−$11,439est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$12,663now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 56d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$71,923
other 0% −$691
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-31.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -42.4% -47.9% 29% 25% -33.9%
≤30d 226 -35.3% -41.5% 34% 30% -29.3%
≤90d 499 -24.3% -31.5% 36% 31% -20.5%
all 499 -24.3% -31.5% 36% 31% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.5% 31% -20.5%
10% -38.0% 25% -28.1%
15% ← realistic here -44.0% 21% -35.1%
20% -49.5% 17% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 42% (≥$1,832) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -14% → late -34% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$713 vs −$689 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$12,663
Realized+$54,150
Unrealized−$6,509
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses180 / 319
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$11,439
Open positions4
Markets (closed)499 / 459
History coverage56d ⚠
Avg bet$1,778
Trades / day57.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 499 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 54¢ 100¢ $3,665 $6,788 +$3,124 (+85%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 55¢ 100¢ $3,100 $5,654 +$2,554 (+82%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 46¢ 50¢ $200 $214 +$14 (+7%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 38¢ 0¢ $2,471 $3 −$2,468 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 51¢ 0¢ $3,159 $3 −$3,156 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 66¢ 0¢ $900 $1 −$899 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 209 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winn Jun 17 $175 −$175 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $491 −$491 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5 Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,970 −$1,970 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2,182 −$2,182 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $394 −$394 -100%
Bilbao Basket vs. Manresa Jun 17 $109 −$109 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $353 −$353 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 17 $105 −$105 -100%
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards Jun 17 $82 −$82 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $980 −$980 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $97 −$97 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2,097 −$2,097 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $987 −$987 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $195 −$195 -100%
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2,068 −$2,068 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,972 −$1,972 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1,183 −$1,183 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $276 −$276 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game Jun 17 $1,484 −$1,484 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $2,663 −$2,663 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 17 $2,286 −$2,286 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $509 −$509 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $67 −$67 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $517 −$517 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winn Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $196 −$196 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1,051 −$1,051 -100%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $102 +$161 +158%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $102 +$107 +105%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals Jun 16 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal? Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $211 +$283 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 43¢ $102 0m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 50¢ $102 1m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 98¢ $1,001 21m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 97¢ $1,001 21m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 78¢ $101 22m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 80¢ $101 22m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 56¢ $96 23m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 51¢ $101 24m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 48¢ $19 24m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 47¢ $305 25m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 44¢ $203 25m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 42¢ $102 25m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 34¢ $102 25m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 30¢ $102 26m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 11¢ $103 31m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 11¢ $51 32m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 80¢ $101 42m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 79¢ $101 43m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 69¢ $101 45m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 68¢ $202 45m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 33¢ $1 53m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 36¢ $102 53m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 60¢ $101 57m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 61¢ $101 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 59¢ $202 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 39¢ $102 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 40¢ $102 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 87¢ $100 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 40¢ $305 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 35¢ $102 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,663.22 · official $12,663.22 (match) · 3500 history records