Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:08:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2772…7bc8 crypto 1509 markets active 6d ago coverage 50d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$128 (-1%) realized −$128 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate88%1324W / 185L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day32.6pace
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$28
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% −$85
other 26% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -18.8% -26.6% 27% 27% -23.1%
≤30d 199 -20.6% -28.2% 29% 28% -19.8%
≤90d 1509 -3.9% -13.1% 88% 4% -11.0%
all 1509 -3.9% -13.1% 88% 4% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 4% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 4% -19.5%
15% -29.0% 3% -27.3%
20% -36.0% 3% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1324 / 185
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1509 / 1509
History coverage50d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1509 Trades
no open positions (175 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2970 history records