Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2762…d4ad crypto 997 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$236 (-7%) realized −$1,279 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate75%908W / 308L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day98.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,288
7 days−$1,288
14 days−$1,288
30 days−$1,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 -88.3% -89.4% 11% 1% -96.2%
≤30d 1216 -19.4% -27.1% 75% 10% -34.9%
≤90d 1216 -19.4% -27.1% 75% 10% -34.9%
all 1216 -19.4% -27.1% 75% 10% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 10% -34.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 2% -41.1%
15% -40.4% 1% -46.8%
20% -46.3% 0% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -39% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.13 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,279
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses908 / 308
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1216 / 997
History coverage26d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day98.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1216 Trades
no open positions (296 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records