Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x275f…baaf
crypto · 1780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$470 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$470 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$470
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1382 / 460
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1842 / 1780
History coverage30d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day73.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 1842 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$301
7 days−$296
14 days−$301
30 days−$485
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -167%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$132
other 18% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -13.1% -21.4% 80% 8% -49.7%
≤30d 1755 -6.5% -15.4% 74% 21% -19.8%
≤90d 1842 -6.1% -15.0% 75% 21% -18.2%
all 1842 -6.1% -15.0% 75% 21% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 21% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 12% -26.0%
15% -30.6% 8% -33.2%
20% -37.4% 7% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.67 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records