Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2753…fd56
crypto · 633 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$337 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$337 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses217 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)633 / 633
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day356.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 633 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$190
7 days+$47
14 days+$337
30 days+$337
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$19 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$45 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$40 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$21 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$337
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 512 -9.0% -17.7% 34% 34% -8.9%
≤30d 633 -7.2% -16.0% 34% 34% -6.1%
≤90d 633 -7.2% -16.0% 34% 34% -6.1%
all 633 -7.2% -16.0% 34% 34% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover356.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 34% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 31% -15.1%
15% -31.4% 27% -23.3%
20% -38.1% 25% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records