Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:51:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
27 0x2749…67cb crypto 191 markets active 5d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (102 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$352 (-5%) realized −$352 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate61%116W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day102.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$567
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (102 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -1.1% -10.6% 58% 42% -15.7%
≤30d 191 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 42% -17.5%
≤90d 191 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 42% -17.5%
all 191 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 42% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover102.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 42% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 33% -25.4%
15% -27.9% 23% -32.6%
20% -34.9% 14% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$15 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses116 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage5d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day102.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 191 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$17 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$100 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$27 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $110 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$19 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $213 −$50 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $129 −$82 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$18 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $226 −$21 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$13 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$12 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$18 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$16 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +252%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $45 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $45 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $87 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $108 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $102 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $102 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $113 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 678 history records