Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2745…cccb
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$53 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$25
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses102 / 68
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)170 / 174
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$37
14 days+$34
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 52¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+26%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 59¢ 64¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 53¢ 34¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 0¢ 62¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 53¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 53¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 60¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$23
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +7.2% -3.0% 61% 52% -5.1%
≤30d 170 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 50% -6.7%
≤90d 170 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 50% -6.7%
all 170 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 50% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 50% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 39% -15.6%
15% -22.4% 29% -23.8%
20% -30.0% 18% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.76 · official $9.08 (match) · 870 history records