Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:48:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

27
0x2731…bbf9
crypto · 135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$168 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$460 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$460
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses71 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage12d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$424
7 days−$480
14 days−$460
30 days−$460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$13 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$67 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$95 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$76 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$35 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$21 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$38 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$67 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$77 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$73 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$105 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$37 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$94 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$82 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$67 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$131 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$30 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$6 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$14 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 03 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 03 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$5 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $170 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $126 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $144 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $155 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $141 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $148 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -18.3% -26.1% 49% 40% -24.0%
≤30d 135 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 49% -14.6%
≤90d 135 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 49% -14.6%
all 135 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 49% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 49% -14.6%
10% -23.5% 44% -22.7%
15% -30.9% 40% -30.2%
20% -37.7% 33% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 278 history records