trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +35.2% | +22.3% | 100% | 50% | -0.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -9.9% | -18.4% | 67% | 33% | -30.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -9.9% | -18.4% | 67% | 33% | -30.4% |
| all | 61 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 64% | 36% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 36% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 26% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 21% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 11% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 92¢ | 92¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Spain | 78¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Over | 73¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $80 | +$2 | +3% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 02 | $41 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 22 | $576 | +$76 | +13% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Nov 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 21 | $193 | +$95 | +49% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 20 | $542 | +$35 | +6% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Nov 13 | $537 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09? | Nov 09 | $180 | +$47 | +26% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner | Nov 09 | $280 | +$19 | +7% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | Nov 09 | $100 | +$96 | +95% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Nov 09 | $196 | −$96 | -49% |
| Thunder vs. Kings | Nov 08 | $191 | −$11 | -6% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Nov 08 | $181 | +$9 | +5% |
| Celtics vs. Magic | Nov 08 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Nov 08 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Bucks | Nov 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Nov 07 | $200 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Nov 07 | $200 | −$6 | -3% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Nov 07 | $200 | −$4 | -2% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Nov 06 | $1 | +$5 | +500% |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Nov 06 | $440 | +$13 | +3% |
| Heat vs. Nuggets | Nov 06 | $431 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? | Nov 06 | $100 | −$6 | -6% |
| Pelicans vs. Mavericks | Nov 06 | $258 | +$80 | +31% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Nov 06 | $333 | +$4 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | Nov 06 | $327 | +$6 | +2% |
| Nets vs. Pacers | Nov 06 | $305 | +$23 | +7% |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-05? | Nov 06 | $71 | +$254 | +360% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Nov 05 | $71 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05? | Nov 05 | $50 | +$21 | +43% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? | Nov 05 | $388 | −$388 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05? | Nov 05 | $150 | −$32 | -22% |
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $100 | +$14 | +14% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 05 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%? | Nov 05 | $518 | +$59 | +11% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Nov 05 | $200 | +$8 | +4% |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Nov 05 | $100 | +$20 | +20% |
| 76ers vs. Bulls | Nov 05 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 05 | $449 | +$17 | +4% |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 05 | $20 | +$13 | +66% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 05 | $200 | +$90 | +45% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Nov 04 | $345 | −$345 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Nov 04 | $307 | +$38 | +12% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | Nov 04 | $236 | +$71 | +30% |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02? | Nov 04 | $118 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02? | Nov 04 | $131 | +$10 | +7% |
| Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw? | Nov 04 | $80 | +$51 | +64% |